Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1.897022 2.165561 2.460543 2.808939 3.209612 3.656485 4.193394
2025-09-21 1.510470 1.861725 2.279538 2.814450 3.483014 4.293533 5.354496
2025-09-28 1.205175 1.583233 2.063809 2.722260 3.605348 4.754923 6.374928
2025-10-05 1.067458 1.483113 2.043327 2.858523 4.022880 5.638721 8.073130
2025-10-12 0.962563 1.405136 2.033334 2.997793 4.455220 6.597666 10.027008
2025-10-19 0.860580 1.312515 1.984206 3.066025 4.785660 7.448403 11.951582
2025-10-26 0.774032 1.228135 1.931740 3.115403 5.085948 8.286256 13.980435
2025-11-02 0.676525 1.111901 1.812028 3.036733 5.162236 8.766277 15.481576
2025-11-09 0.581451 0.986360 1.659637 2.879674 5.078520 8.956181 16.492785
2025-11-16 0.522996 0.914538 1.586855 2.847335 5.203605 9.520390 18.263259
2025-11-23 0.469725 0.844869 1.508580 2.793107 5.277927 9.996338 19.931503
2025-11-30 0.450159 0.833046 1.531252 2.926828 5.722167 11.228129 23.293261
2025-12-07 0.420119 0.799617 1.512660 2.984267 6.035983 12.270927 26.491491
2025-12-14 0.384032 0.750432 1.458466 2.964462 6.191539 13.017346 29.189985
2025-12-21 0.342443 0.685567 1.365997 2.854169 6.141405 13.322226 30.951807
2025-12-28 0.330367 0.678791 1.389195 2.990272 6.644912 14.912147 36.009650
2026-01-04 0.319495 0.673124 1.413782 3.132384 7.182646 16.662776 41.790883
2026-01-11 0.303069 0.653622 1.406489 3.201735 7.561485 18.099255 47.050972
2026-01-18 0.286590 0.632050 1.392018 3.252290 7.902355 19.496041 52.475822
2026-01-25 0.261894 0.589270 1.325147 3.169406 7.901149 20.034280 55.655310
2026-02-01 0.234210 0.536632 1.229848 3.004844 7.668383 19.937385 57.015101
2026-02-08 0.217745 0.508518 1.188898 2.970877 7.771865 20.750622 61.199049
2026-02-15 0.201416 0.478999 1.141381 2.914096 7.806332 21.381298 64.959571